Working decision models and simulations — built to show, not just tell, how real value and real risk hide inside a business. Each one is an example of the modeling behind a Fisher Governance review.
A full decision model for the stocker cattle business — the price slide, cost of gain, breakeven, hedging, herd management. Run the model, play a season, see where the money hides.
Can you run an AI project without getting fleeced? A vendor works you across 20 turns of documented tactics. You make the calls; the sim tracks the money, the red flags, and how pot-committed you get.
A carrier's SIU flags an employer whose payroll looks light. You're the forensic examiner. Across 14 turns, reconcile the numbers, clear the false positives, and build a case that holds up — scored on whether you found it AND ran it clean.
You own a growing business and you're buried in sales. Nine internal-fraud schemes surface in the daily grind — ghost employees, fake vendors, the trusted assistant who reconciles her own card. Do you catch them, or find out eighteen months too late? Scored on what you catch AND whether you keep the trust a business runs on.
Buy lighter, add pounds, sell heavier — it looks simple. Three hidden costs sink more cattle deals than any market crash. The written companion to The Spread model.
Everyone is putting "AI" on the invoice and marking it up. Ten documented red flags, plus the single question that exposes most bad vendors in 60 seconds. The written companion to The AI Markup.
Underreported payroll cost one workers’ comp carrier roughly $9 million over seven years. The schemes, the red flags, and why they're harder to hide in 2026. The written companion to The Reconciliation.
The typical business loses 5% of revenue to internal fraud, and it runs a median 12 months before anyone looks. The nine schemes, the real-world cases, and the two questions that catch most of them. The written companion to Blind Spot.
If you're planning a transition, a sale, an AI project, or just want an independent read on where your business value — and risk — actually sit, that's the work.